Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Anchorage, AK · ZIP 99508 · Census Tract 02020001602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$394K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$424K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$579K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $310K | $316K | $311K | $306K | $314K | $310K | $326K | $382K | $381K | $382K | $394K | $401K | $409K | $424K |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +2.4% | -1.3% | +5.4% | +17.0% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +3.2% | +1.8% | +1.9% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $331K | $320K | $317K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $473K | $536K | $579K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$331K to $473K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$317K to $579K
61.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | $390K | $424K | +8.7% | |
| Wasilla | $396K | $442K | +11.5% | |
| Matanuska-Susitna | $387K | $419K | +8.1% | |
| Fairbanks North Star | $394K | $419K | +6.3% | |
| Juneau | $395K | $411K | +4.1% | |
| Seward-Hope | $389K | $387K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | $390K | $424K | +8.7% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002714) | $442K | $536K | +21.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002713) | $446K | $518K | +16.2% | |
| Fairbanks North Star | $277K | $321K | +16.1% | |
| Lower Kuskokwim | $90K | $105K | +15.9% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002304) | $383K | $444K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | $390K | $424K | $261K | |
| Koyukuk-Middle Yukon | $105K | $113K | $50K | |
| Anchorage | $105K | $115K | $47K | |
| Dillingham | $85K | $88K | $45K | |
| Kusilvak | $86K | $95K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.