Bethel, AK · ZIP 99589 · Census Tract 02050000100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$52K
Downside (P10)
$44K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$77K
+49% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+164% by 2030
Base case: +49% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +164%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar Bethel markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $100K | $77K | $77K | $64K | $52K | $55K | $56K | $57K | $53K | $91K | $52K | $65K | $71K | $74K | $77K |
| YoY Change | -22.9% | -1.0% | -16.4% | -18.6% | +4.8% | +2.7% | +0.9% | -7.2% | +73.5% | -43.4% | +25.4% | +10.4% | +4.3% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $50K | $46K | $44K | $44K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $88K | $110K | $124K | $136K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$46K to $63K
34.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$44K to $136K
120.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
No comparable areas found for this neighborhood. This usually happens when only a small number of tracts in the county have forecast coverage.
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources