County 56940, WY · Census Tract 56940480103 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.77M
Downside (P10)
$1.91M
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.27M
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.67M
-4% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to -4%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 56940 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.8M | $2.9M | $2.6M | $2.3M | $2.3M |
| YoY Change | +4.0% | -10.2% | -10.1% | -2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.0M | $1.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.3M | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.7M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.58M to $3.09M
18.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.91M to $2.67M
33.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $1.81M | $1.39M | -23.0% |
| Tract 240000 | $1.78M | $1.30M | -27.0% |
| Tract 080008 | $1.64M | $1.28M | -21.8% |
| Tract 760001 | $1.41M | $1.14M | -19.2% |
| Tract 920003 | $1.35M | $1.14M | -15.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400002 | $969K | $857K | -11.6% |
| Tract 920003 | $1.35M | $1.14M | -15.5% |
| Tract 680000 | $1.23M | $1.01M | -17.5% |
| Tract 120007 | $1.15M | $953K | -17.5% |
| Tract 760001 | $1.41M | $1.14M | -19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400002 | $969K | $857K | $935K |
| Tract 760001 | $1.41M | $1.14M | $1.04M |
| Tract 680000 | $1.23M | $1.01M | $1.09M |
| Tract 120007 | $1.15M | $953K | $1.13M |
| Tract 240000 | $1.78M | $1.30M | $1.19M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources