County 56498, WY · Census Tract 56498001186 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$434K
Downside (P10)
$412K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$562K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$743K
+71% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +71%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 56498 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $434K | $487K | $504K | $521K | $562K |
| YoY Change | +12.1% | +3.6% | +3.3% | +7.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $420K | $406K | $417K | $412K | |
| Upside (P90) | $571K | $619K | $670K | $743K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$405K to $473K
15.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$412K to $743K
58.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000886 | $427K | $539K | +26.3% |
| Tract 000048 | $420K | $509K | +21.3% |
| Tract 000488 | $419K | $574K | +36.9% |
| Tract 000064 | $412K | $534K | +29.5% |
| Tract 000527 | $462K | $596K | +29.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000488 | $419K | $574K | +36.9% |
| Tract 000381 | $324K | $439K | +35.5% |
| Tract 000624 | $332K | $448K | +34.8% |
| Tract 000501 | $337K | $446K | +32.5% |
| Tract 001322 | $398K | $527K | +32.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000802 | $319K | $410K | $205K |
| Tract 001089 | $383K | $473K | $246K |
| Tract 000721 | $405K | $516K | $260K |
| Tract 000844 | $391K | $486K | $264K |
| Tract 000886 | $427K | $539K | $272K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources