County 56317, WY · Census Tract 56317101361 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.76M
Downside (P10)
$2.56M
-32% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.94M
-22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.21M
-14% by 2030
Base case: -22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -32% to -14%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 56317 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.8M | $3.9M | $3.5M | $2.9M | $2.9M |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | -10.3% | -15.3% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.5M | $3.1M | $2.6M | $2.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.2M | $3.7M | $3.2M | $3.2M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.51M to $3.98M
12.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.56M to $3.21M
22.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100728 | $3.76M | $2.97M | -21.0% |
| Tract 101206 | $3.79M | $2.95M | -22.1% |
| Tract 101167 | $3.70M | $2.87M | -22.5% |
| Tract 101921 | $3.70M | $2.78M | -24.9% |
| Tract 101468 | $3.67M | $2.84M | -22.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000080 | $233K | $299K | +28.2% |
| Tract 100760 | $2.49M | $2.22M | -10.9% |
| Tract 101248 | $2.57M | $2.29M | -11.0% |
| Tract 100906 | $2.76M | $2.45M | -11.2% |
| Tract 101400 | $2.63M | $2.31M | -11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000080 | $233K | $299K | $314K |
| Tract 100621 | $3.18M | $2.54M | $506K |
| Tract 101400 | $2.63M | $2.31M | $574K |
| Tract 101086 | $2.50M | $2.13M | $578K |
| Tract 100906 | $2.76M | $2.45M | $580K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources