County 56110, WY · Census Tract 56110004500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$710K
Downside (P10)
$272K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$637K
-10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.27M
+79% by 2030
Base case: -10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +79%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 56110 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $710K | $719K | $666K | $625K | $637K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | -7.4% | -6.2% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $398K | $344K | $279K | $272K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$538K to $980K
62.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$272K to $1.27M
156.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003349 | $733K | $674K | -8.1% |
| Tract 002120 | $679K | $705K | +3.8% |
| Tract 004380 | $745K | $846K | +13.5% |
| Tract 003307 | $674K | $523K | -22.5% |
| Tract 002146 | $669K | $676K | +1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004461 | $752K | $982K | +30.5% |
| Tract 003488 | $759K | $930K | +22.5% |
| Tract 004380 | $745K | $846K | +13.5% |
| Tract 003420 | $821K | $912K | +11.1% |
| Tract 003145 | $786K | $873K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004380 | $745K | $846K | $689K |
| Tract 003420 | $821K | $912K | $708K |
| Tract 003129 | $773K | $819K | $711K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources