County 56105, WY · Census Tract 56105511202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.09M
Downside (P10)
$518K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$968K
-11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.74M
+59% by 2030
Base case: -11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +59%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 56105 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $999K | $955K | $968K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | -10.0% | -4.4% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $652K | $540K | $528K | $518K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$723K to $1.46M
68.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$518K to $1.74M
125.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 509706 | $1.09M | $827K | -24.2% |
| Tract 516702 | $1.10M | $947K | -14.0% |
| Tract 515305 | $1.08M | $894K | -16.8% |
| Tract 511655 | $1.07M | $847K | -21.1% |
| Tract 509308 | $1.07M | $1.00M | -6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 510656 | $1.00M | $961K | -4.0% |
| Tract 512858 | $896K | $854K | -4.8% |
| Tract 512104 | $902K | $859K | -4.8% |
| Tract 509502 | $972K | $908K | -6.6% |
| Tract 509308 | $1.07M | $1.00M | -6.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 513857 | $1.01M | $847K | $927K |
| Tract 511309 | $1.00M | $767K | $946K |
| Tract 509502 | $972K | $908K | $980K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources