County 54801, WV · Census Tract 54801761002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$658K
Downside (P10)
$450K
-32% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$756K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+74% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -32% to +74%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 54801 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $658K | $717K | $721K | $745K | $756K |
| YoY Change | +9.0% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $536K | $464K | $446K | $450K | |
| Upside (P90) | $904K | $984K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$575K to $787K
32.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$450K to $1.15M
92.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480105 | $550K | $664K | +20.8% |
| Tract 561008 | $421K | $573K | +36.2% |
| Tract 760003 | $417K | $522K | +25.4% |
| Tract 801001 | $411K | $522K | +27.2% |
| Tract 560009 | $411K | $566K | +37.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560009 | $411K | $566K | +37.9% |
| Tract 561008 | $421K | $573K | +36.2% |
| Tract 921004 | $387K | $507K | +31.0% |
| Tract 681001 | $402K | $523K | +30.1% |
| Tract 600008 | $406K | $524K | +29.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 921004 | $387K | $507K | $403K |
| Tract 681001 | $402K | $523K | $483K |
| Tract 600008 | $406K | $524K | $488K |
| Tract 801001 | $411K | $522K | $520K |
| Tract 561008 | $421K | $573K | $522K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources