County 54470, WV · Census Tract 54470000288 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$825K
Downside (P10)
$435K
-47% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$793K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+72% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -47% to +72%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 54470 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $825K | $848K | $784K | $763K | $793K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | -7.6% | -2.6% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $604K | $462K | $408K | $435K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$684K to $1.07M
47.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$435K to $1.42M
124.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000929 | $821K | $818K | -0.4% |
| Tract 000262 | $829K | $837K | +0.9% |
| Tract 001083 | $830K | $789K | -5.0% |
| Tract 000369 | $814K | $736K | -9.5% |
| Tract 000107 | $811K | $836K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000107 | $811K | $836K | +3.1% |
| Tract 000262 | $829K | $837K | +0.9% |
| Tract 000929 | $821K | $818K | -0.4% |
| Tract 002040 | $718K | $690K | -4.0% |
| Tract 002341 | $727K | $695K | -4.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002040 | $718K | $690K | $866K |
| Tract 001083 | $830K | $789K | $868K |
| Tract 002228 | $839K | $748K | $892K |
| Tract 002341 | $727K | $695K | $936K |
| Tract 000369 | $814K | $736K | $972K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources