County 54525, WV · Census Tract 54525002568 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$640K
Downside (P10)
$309K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$596K
-7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+72% by 2030
Base case: -7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +72%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 54525 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $640K | $657K | $599K | $561K | $596K |
| YoY Change | +2.7% | -8.8% | -6.4% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $424K | $348K | $318K | $309K | |
| Upside (P90) | $942K | $1.0M | $999K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$519K to $823K
47.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$309K to $1.10M
132.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002429 | $640K | $625K | -2.3% |
| Tract 001129 | $638K | $676K | +6.0% |
| Tract 001462 | $644K | $748K | +16.2% |
| Tract 001048 | $644K | $666K | +3.3% |
| Tract 002267 | $645K | $639K | -0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001462 | $644K | $748K | +16.2% |
| Tract 002704 | $583K | $663K | +13.7% |
| Tract 002209 | $586K | $659K | +12.4% |
| Tract 000162 | $661K | $732K | +10.6% |
| Tract 002021 | $560K | $610K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000706 | $574K | $569K | $639K |
| Tract 001802 | $556K | $563K | $648K |
| Tract 001640 | $547K | $538K | $657K |
| Tract 002005 | $582K | $634K | $709K |
| Tract 002607 | $578K | $624K | $711K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources