County 54523, WV · Census Tract 54523006964 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$742K
Downside (P10)
$524K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$856K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.72M
+131% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +131%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 54523 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $742K | $872K | $856K | $831K | $856K |
| YoY Change | +17.5% | -1.9% | -2.9% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $646K | $587K | $497K | $524K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$629K to $1.21M
78.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$524K to $1.72M
139.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006524 | $745K | $910K | +22.1% |
| Tract 000449 | $734K | $674K | -8.1% |
| Tract 003640 | $732K | $684K | -6.5% |
| Tract 004102 | $758K | $1000K | +31.9% |
| Tract 000481 | $725K | $735K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006980 | $566K | $795K | +40.4% |
| Tract 001309 | $600K | $808K | +34.6% |
| Tract 003103 | $591K | $792K | +34.0% |
| Tract 004102 | $758K | $1000K | +31.9% |
| Tract 007125 | $606K | $783K | +29.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources