County 54523, WV · Census Tract 54523000601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$644K
Downside (P10)
$389K
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$626K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+78% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +78%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 54523 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $644K | $639K | $595K | $595K | $626K |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | -6.9% | -0.1% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $439K | $380K | $362K | $389K | |
| Upside (P90) | $928K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$494K to $832K
52.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$389K to $1.15M
121.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004225 | $645K | $802K | +24.4% |
| Tract 003365 | $641K | $793K | +23.7% |
| Tract 003527 | $639K | $812K | +27.1% |
| Tract 004348 | $656K | $783K | +19.4% |
| Tract 000300 | $663K | $600K | -9.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006980 | $566K | $795K | +40.4% |
| Tract 001309 | $600K | $808K | +34.6% |
| Tract 003103 | $591K | $792K | +34.0% |
| Tract 004102 | $758K | $1000K | +31.9% |
| Tract 007125 | $606K | $783K | +29.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources