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Spokane, WA · ZIP 99216 · Census Tract 53063011400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$391K
Downside (P10)
$326K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$409K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$527K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $175K | $167K | $181K | $191K | $202K | $222K | $255K | $330K | $350K | $388K | $391K | $391K | $407K | $409K | $408K |
| YoY Change | -4.6% | +8.5% | +5.8% | +5.4% | +10.4% | +14.7% | +29.5% | +6.1% | +10.6% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +4.2% | +0.6% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $326K | $348K | $326K | $362K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $440K | $497K | $527K | $458K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$326K to $440K
29.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$362K to $458K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane · 99216 | $386K | $409K | +6.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 011204) | $390K | $454K | +16.4% | |
| Cheney-Medical Lake | $394K | $451K | +14.5% | |
| Spokane Valley (Tract 012802) | $394K | $443K | +12.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003500) | $393K | $433K | +10.1% | |
| Spokane Valley (Tract 012702) | $388K | $403K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane · 99216 | $386K | $409K | +6.0% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane · 99216 | $386K | $409K | $201K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.