County 53425, WA · Census Tract 53425172405 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$501K
Downside (P10)
$326K
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$611K
+22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+123% by 2030
Base case: +22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +123%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 53425 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $501K | $542K | $537K | $560K | $611K |
| YoY Change | +8.2% | -0.9% | +4.4% | +9.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $389K | $322K | $293K | $326K | |
| Upside (P90) | $784K | $810K | $970K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$396K to $642K
49.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$326K to $1.12M
129.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 172900 | $501K | $574K | +14.6% |
| Tract 171600 | $502K | $621K | +23.7% |
| Tract 171655 | $499K | $671K | +34.4% |
| Tract 041206 | $505K | $560K | +10.8% |
| Tract 041002 | $495K | $568K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 171655 | $499K | $671K | +34.4% |
| Tract 032503 | $461K | $619K | +34.3% |
| Tract 172052 | $508K | $680K | +33.9% |
| Tract 033502 | $446K | $586K | +31.4% |
| Tract 030602 | $458K | $595K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 032901 | $438K | $533K | $453K |
| Tract 031805 | $462K | $565K | $493K |
| Tract 033201 | $433K | $527K | $513K |
| Tract 040508 | $531K | $619K | $557K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources