County 53380, WA · Census Tract 53380000489 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$307K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$529K
+26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$957K
+127% by 2030
Base case: +26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +127%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 53380 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $421K | $450K | $458K | $484K | $529K |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | +1.8% | +5.8% | +9.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $347K | $303K | $286K | $307K | |
| Upside (P90) | $655K | $774K | $874K | $957K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$351K to $555K
48.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$307K to $957K
123.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000023 | $420K | $532K | +26.6% |
| Tract 000104 | $412K | $487K | +18.3% |
| Tract 000900 | $410K | $504K | +22.8% |
| Tract 000528 | $410K | $494K | +20.6% |
| Tract 000308 | $409K | $506K | +23.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000641 | $407K | $529K | +29.8% |
| Tract 000722 | $383K | $489K | +27.5% |
| Tract 000023 | $420K | $532K | +26.6% |
| Tract 000308 | $409K | $506K | +23.9% |
| Tract 000900 | $410K | $504K | +22.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000722 | $383K | $489K | $425K |
| Tract 000764 | $407K | $459K | $430K |
| Tract 000104 | $412K | $487K | $469K |
| Tract 000340 | $407K | $472K | $505K |
| Tract 000308 | $409K | $506K | $509K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources