What is the home price forecast for Amber-Cheney South?

Homecastr forecasts Amber-Cheney South median home values at $481,377 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.9%.

How confident is the Amber-Cheney South forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $385,944 (downside) to $753,178 (upside), with a spread of 71% of median.

Amber-Cheney South Home Price Forecast

Spokane, WA · ZIP 99004 · Census Tract 53063014200 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$481K

Downside (P10)

$386K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$520K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$753K

+56% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +56%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Spokane markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$198K	$197K	$227K	$256K	$259K	$319K	$354K	$412K	$430K	$469K	$476K	$481K	$482K	$506K	$520K
YoY Change		-0.1%	+14.9%	+12.9%	+0.9%	+23.4%	+10.7%	+16.5%	+4.2%	+9.1%	+1.5%	+1.2%	+0.0%	+5.0%	+2.7%
Downside (P10)												$419K	$403K	$378K	$386K
Upside (P90)												$560K	$611K	$660K	$753K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$433K to $512K

16.6% of median

5-Year Spread

$386K to $753K

70.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.9% · Spread: 71%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Deer Park	$479K	$537K	+12.1%
Spokane	$486K	$573K	+18.0%
Spokane	$488K	$504K	+3.2%
Fairwood	$489K	$537K	+9.8%
Spokane	$489K	$562K	+15.0%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Airway Heights	$337K	$405K	+20.4%
Spokane	$655K	$781K	+19.2%
Spokane	$486K	$573K	+18.0%
Spokane	$262K	$308K	+17.6%
Spokane	$381K	$448K	+17.5%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Spokane	$258K	$285K	$129K
Spokane	$259K	$279K	$131K
Spokane	$285K	$309K	$143K
Spokane	$245K	$255K	$147K
Spokane	$371K	$402K	$147K

Location

Amber-Cheney South on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).