County 50880, VT · Census Tract 50880002621 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$76K
Downside (P10)
$64K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$112K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$196K
+159% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +159%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 50880 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $76K | $93K | $95K | $101K | $112K |
| YoY Change | +22.8% | +1.8% | +6.9% | +10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $71K | $67K | $64K | $64K | |
| Upside (P90) | $143K | $152K | $164K | $196K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$63K to $103K
52.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$64K to $196K
118.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001648 | $76K | $114K | +50.6% |
| Tract 002582 | $76K | $110K | +44.4% |
| Tract 002841 | $75K | $112K | +48.8% |
| Tract 000322 | $75K | $105K | +39.6% |
| Tract 000762 | $75K | $101K | +34.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000364 | $75K | $118K | +57.0% |
| Tract 001745 | $78K | $123K | +56.9% |
| Tract 002948 | $156K | $244K | +56.9% |
| Tract 000966 | $77K | $120K | +55.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources