County 50880, VT · Census Tract 50880001787 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$85K
Downside (P10)
$65K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$119K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$250K
+195% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +195%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 50880 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $102K | $104K | $113K | $119K |
| YoY Change | +20.4% | +1.6% | +8.9% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $71K | $68K | $64K | $65K | |
| Upside (P90) | $168K | $190K | $229K | $250K |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$67K to $122K
64.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$65K to $250K
155.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000283 | $85K | $128K | +49.4% |
| Tract 000982 | $86K | $132K | +54.2% |
| Tract 001541 | $83K | $117K | +40.9% |
| Tract 000160 | $88K | $102K | +16.4% |
| Tract 000801 | $88K | $124K | +40.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000364 | $75K | $118K | +57.0% |
| Tract 001745 | $78K | $123K | +56.9% |
| Tract 002948 | $156K | $244K | +56.9% |
| Tract 000966 | $77K | $120K | +55.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources