County 50880, VT · Census Tract 50880001004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$151K
Downside (P10)
$123K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$200K
+32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$320K
+112% by 2030
Base case: +32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +112%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 50880 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $181K | $182K | $188K | $200K |
| YoY Change | +19.7% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $135K | $126K | $118K | $123K | |
| Upside (P90) | $243K | $257K | $279K | $320K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$127K to $192K
43.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$123K to $320K
98.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002566 | $153K | $204K | +33.8% |
| Tract 001428 | $149K | $225K | +51.2% |
| Tract 002948 | $156K | $244K | +56.9% |
| Tract 005602 | $116K | $160K | +37.9% |
| Tract 002689 | $190K | $272K | +42.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000364 | $75K | $118K | +57.0% |
| Tract 001745 | $78K | $123K | +56.9% |
| Tract 002948 | $156K | $244K | +56.9% |
| Tract 000966 | $77K | $120K | +55.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources