County 50290, VT · Census Tract 50290160001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$338K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$434K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$701K
+108% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +108%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 50290 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $338K | $375K | $397K | $413K | $434K |
| YoY Change | +10.8% | +6.1% | +4.0% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $286K | $281K | $286K | $300K | |
| Upside (P90) | $507K | $575K | $646K | $701K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$294K to $407K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$300K to $701K
92.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $347K | $441K | +27.3% |
| Tract 480008 | $347K | $464K | +33.7% |
| Tract 560009 | $351K | $469K | +33.5% |
| Tract 120009 | $354K | $455K | +28.6% |
| Tract 520007 | $356K | $444K | +24.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880006 | $357K | $498K | +39.4% |
| Tract 480008 | $347K | $464K | +33.7% |
| Tract 560009 | $351K | $469K | +33.5% |
| Tract 400004 | $357K | $472K | +32.4% |
| Tract 120009 | $354K | $455K | +28.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080000 | $359K | $450K | $363K |
| Tract 360005 | $347K | $441K | $379K |
| Tract 480008 | $347K | $464K | $380K |
| Tract 120009 | $354K | $455K | $394K |
| Tract 880006 | $357K | $498K | $405K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources