County 51665, VA · Census Tract 51665001228 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$139K
Downside (P10)
$114K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$190K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$327K
+136% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +136%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 51665 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $139K | $168K | $164K | $175K | $190K |
| YoY Change | +20.8% | -2.1% | +6.7% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $125K | $114K | $114K | $114K | |
| Upside (P90) | $227K | $238K | $273K | $327K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$118K to $182K
46.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$114K to $327K
111.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001202 | $140K | $204K | +45.8% |
| Tract 001244 | $137K | $199K | +45.3% |
| Tract 001189 | $137K | $204K | +49.4% |
| Tract 000148 | $146K | $219K | +50.2% |
| Tract 000960 | $130K | $196K | +50.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000669 | $110K | $177K | +61.0% |
| Tract 002065 | $114K | $183K | +60.9% |
| Tract 000067 | $78K | $124K | +58.5% |
| Tract 001781 | $211K | $328K | +55.5% |
| Tract 001286 | $161K | $250K | +55.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000067 | $78K | $124K | $161K |
| Tract 001600 | $119K | $179K | $178K |
| Tract 000106 | $116K | $176K | $181K |
| Tract 000766 | $117K | $173K | $183K |
| Tract 000669 | $110K | $177K | $184K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources