What is the home price forecast for Tract 000083?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 000083 median home values at $507,028 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

How confident is the Tract 000083 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $303,772 (downside) to $876,901 (upside), with a spread of 109% of median.

Tract 000083 Home Price Forecast

County 49790, UT · Census Tract 49790000083 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$507K

Downside (P10)

$304K

-40% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$525K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$877K

+73% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +73%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 49790 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$507K	$539K	$503K	$498K	$525K
YoY Change		+6.3%	-6.7%	-1.0%	+5.4%
Downside (P10)		$396K	$314K	$313K	$304K
Upside (P90)		$737K	$764K	$838K	$877K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$425K to $629K

40.2% of median

5-Year Spread

$304K to $877K

109.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.5% · Spread: 109%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 000229	$505K	$575K	+13.9%
Tract 000041	$512K	$573K	+11.8%
Tract 000326	$493K	$564K	+14.6%
Tract 000300	$474K	$544K	+14.8%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 000300	$474K	$544K	+14.8%
Tract 000326	$493K	$564K	+14.6%
Tract 000229	$505K	$575K	+13.9%
Tract 000041	$512K	$573K	+11.8%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Tract 000326	$493K	$564K	$531K
Tract 000300	$474K	$544K	$585K
Tract 000229	$505K	$575K	$589K
Tract 000041	$512K	$573K	$613K

Location

Tract 000083 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).