County 49660, UT · Census Tract 49660104381 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$606K
-11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.21M
+77% by 2030
Base case: -11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +77%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 49660 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $684K | $685K | $643K | $608K | $606K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | -6.1% | -5.5% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $325K | $308K | $314K | |
| Upside (P90) | $964K | $976K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$536K to $899K
53.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$314K to $1.21M
148.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 104323 | $684K | $643K | -5.9% |
| Tract 104640 | $681K | $629K | -7.6% |
| Tract 104022 | $680K | $670K | -1.5% |
| Tract 104886 | $689K | $632K | -8.3% |
| Tract 103609 | $694K | $714K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 097906 | $287K | $475K | +65.5% |
| Tract 096428 | $295K | $485K | +64.7% |
| Tract 097142 | $296K | $479K | +61.5% |
| Tract 096923 | $311K | $502K | +61.3% |
| Tract 096622 | $303K | $483K | +59.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources