What is the home price forecast for Tract 084760?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 084760 median home values at $2,419,105 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 1.3%.

How confident is the Tract 084760 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $1,936,378 (downside) to $3,154,388 (upside), with a spread of 50% of median.

Tract 084760 Home Price Forecast

County 49660, UT · Census Tract 49660084760 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$2.42M

Downside (P10)

$1.94M

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$2.45M

+1% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$3.15M

+30% by 2030

Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +30%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 49660 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$2.4M	$2.5M	$2.4M	$2.4M	$2.5M
YoY Change		+4.3%	-4.4%	-1.3%	+2.8%
Downside (P10)		$2.2M	$2.0M	$1.9M	$1.9M
Upside (P90)		$2.9M	$2.9M	$3.0M	$3.2M

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$2.23M to $2.65M

17.2% of median

5-Year Spread

$1.94M to $3.15M

49.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: roughly flat5yr expected: +1.3% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 084728	$2.32M	$2.20M	-5.0%
Tract 078307	$1.46M	$1.28M	-12.3%
Tract 078501	$1.44M	$1.29M	-10.0%
Tract 084582	$1.43M	$1.38M	-3.5%
Tract 093049	$1.40M	$1.41M	+0.9%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 097906	$287K	$475K	+65.5%
Tract 096428	$295K	$485K	+64.7%
Tract 097142	$296K	$479K	+61.5%
Tract 096923	$311K	$502K	+61.3%
Tract 096622	$303K	$483K	+59.4%

Location

Tract 084760 on map

Open Full Map ↗

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).