County 49455, UT · Census Tract 49455802186 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$460K
Downside (P10)
$309K
-33% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$587K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+153% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -33% to +153%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 49455 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $460K | $542K | $552K | $551K | $587K |
| YoY Change | +17.8% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $393K | $357K | $323K | $309K | |
| Upside (P90) | $888K | $972K | $996K | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$367K to $733K
79.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$309K to $1.16M
145.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801404 | $456K | $475K | +4.3% |
| Tract 801925 | $471K | $670K | +42.2% |
| Tract 800926 | $447K | $479K | +7.0% |
| Tract 800463 | $476K | $551K | +15.8% |
| Tract 801381 | $433K | $553K | +27.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400481 | $232K | $338K | +45.8% |
| Tract 801925 | $471K | $670K | +42.2% |
| Tract 400407 | $228K | $321K | +40.6% |
| Tract 400342 | $231K | $323K | +40.3% |
| Tract 400229 | $231K | $321K | +38.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400229 | $231K | $321K | $221K |
| Tract 400342 | $231K | $323K | $222K |
| Tract 400449 | $228K | $312K | $225K |
| Tract 400368 | $228K | $307K | $225K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources