County 48590, TX · Census Tract 48590013844 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$88K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$135K
+54% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$251K
+186% by 2030
Base case: +54% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +186%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 48590 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $88K | $109K | $117K | $126K | $135K |
| YoY Change | +24.5% | +7.1% | +7.7% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $79K | $78K | $79K | $84K | |
| Upside (P90) | $163K | $189K | $223K | $251K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$72K to $135K
71.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$84K to $251K
123.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 014403 | $79K | $118K | +49.5% |
| Tract 014380 | $69K | $104K | +50.5% |
| Tract 014283 | $69K | $94K | +36.5% |
| Tract 013860 | $68K | $99K | +45.5% |
| Tract 013307 | $68K | $100K | +47.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012861 | $59K | $92K | +54.7% |
| Tract 014128 | $58K | $88K | +51.8% |
| Tract 014380 | $69K | $104K | +50.5% |
| Tract 014403 | $79K | $118K | +49.5% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources