County 47990, TN · Census Tract 47990002281 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$775K
Downside (P10)
$348K
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$741K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.49M
+92% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to +92%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 47990 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $775K | $778K | $741K | $708K | $741K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | -4.7% | -4.4% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $457K | $386K | $356K | $348K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$584K to $1.05M
60.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$348K to $1.49M
154.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000364 | $770K | $677K | -12.1% |
| Tract 001907 | $784K | $737K | -6.0% |
| Tract 000461 | $764K | $650K | -14.9% |
| Tract 000885 | $786K | $628K | -20.0% |
| Tract 001842 | $758K | $643K | -15.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000487 | $799K | $782K | -2.2% |
| Tract 000144 | $695K | $680K | -2.2% |
| Tract 002184 | $848K | $808K | -4.7% |
| Tract 000267 | $748K | $710K | -5.2% |
| Tract 002304 | $883K | $834K | -5.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000568 | $720K | $608K | $728K |
| Tract 001321 | $827K | $721K | $789K |
| Tract 000047 | $663K | $603K | $835K |
| Tract 002003 | $727K | $679K | $846K |
| Tract 000885 | $786K | $628K | $853K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources