County 47830, TN · Census Tract 47830004640 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$405K
Downside (P10)
$306K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$485K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$727K
+79% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +79%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 47830 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $405K | $430K | $437K | $456K | $485K |
| YoY Change | +6.0% | +1.7% | +4.3% | +6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $338K | $318K | $312K | $306K | |
| Upside (P90) | $551K | $604K | $652K | $727K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$364K to $482K
29.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$306K to $727K
86.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003706 | $406K | $525K | +29.3% |
| Tract 003081 | $407K | $502K | +23.4% |
| Tract 002927 | $402K | $505K | +25.7% |
| Tract 020365 | $413K | $553K | +33.9% |
| Tract 006842 | $394K | $498K | +26.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001960 | $84K | $130K | +54.7% |
| Tract 001902 | $134K | $207K | +54.2% |
| Tract 000424 | $420K | $643K | +52.9% |
| Tract 005364 | $83K | $124K | +50.2% |
| Tract 000547 | $358K | $525K | +46.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources