County 47780, TN · Census Tract 47780007603 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.11M
Downside (P10)
$931K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.44M
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.26M
+104% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +104%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 47780 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +14.6% | +5.2% | +1.4% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $966K | $955K | $931K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.8M | $2.0M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1000K to $1.30M
27.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$931K to $2.26M
92.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008204 | $1.11M | $1.52M | +36.3% |
| Tract 007742 | $1.09M | $1.53M | +39.5% |
| Tract 008165 | $1.08M | $1.46M | +35.0% |
| Tract 006866 | $1.08M | $1.44M | +32.8% |
| Tract 007506 | $1.07M | $1.43M | +33.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002860 | $902K | $1.59M | +75.9% |
| Tract 002909 | $941K | $1.58M | +68.3% |
| Tract 002608 | $1.17M | $1.93M | +64.2% |
| Tract 001340 | $1.27M | $2.03M | +59.2% |
| Tract 001489 | $1.27M | $2.02M | +59.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources