County 47780, TN · Census Tract 47780007205 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$961K
Downside (P10)
$850K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.37M
+43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.02M
+111% by 2030
Base case: +43% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +111%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 47780 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $961K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +9.8% | +3.8% | +8.1% | +16.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $843K | $790K | $793K | $850K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.7M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$849K to $1.12M
28.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$850K to $2.02M
85.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 007580 | $945K | $1.31M | +39.1% |
| Tract 004282 | $945K | $1.30M | +37.2% |
| Tract 006989 | $943K | $1.28M | +35.6% |
| Tract 002909 | $941K | $1.58M | +68.3% |
| Tract 004305 | $935K | $1.23M | +31.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002860 | $902K | $1.59M | +75.9% |
| Tract 002909 | $941K | $1.58M | +68.3% |
| Tract 002608 | $1.17M | $1.93M | +64.2% |
| Tract 001340 | $1.27M | $2.03M | +59.2% |
| Tract 001489 | $1.27M | $2.02M | +59.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources