County 46575, SD · Census Tract 46575000586 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.09M
Downside (P10)
$1.34M
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.05M
-34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.58M
-16% by 2030
Base case: -34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to -16%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46575 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.1M | $3.0M | $2.6M | $2.2M | $2.0M |
| YoY Change | -2.0% | -15.0% | -14.3% | -7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.2M | $1.8M | $1.5M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.5M | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.50M to $3.45M
31.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.34M to $2.58M
60.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000162 | $3.08M | $1.87M | -39.2% |
| Tract 000544 | $3.12M | $1.94M | -37.9% |
| Tract 000065 | $2.99M | $1.97M | -33.9% |
| Tract 000227 | $2.92M | $2.02M | -30.8% |
| Tract 000285 | $2.85M | $1.95M | -31.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000366 | $2.81M | $2.06M | -26.5% |
| Tract 000227 | $2.92M | $2.02M | -30.8% |
| Tract 000285 | $2.85M | $1.95M | -31.8% |
| Tract 000065 | $2.99M | $1.97M | -33.9% |
| Tract 000243 | $2.84M | $1.80M | -36.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000366 | $2.81M | $2.06M | $1.26M |
| Tract 000285 | $2.85M | $1.95M | $1.26M |
| Tract 000243 | $2.84M | $1.80M | $1.32M |
| Tract 000227 | $2.92M | $2.02M | $1.36M |
| Tract 000065 | $2.99M | $1.97M | $1.55M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources