County 46573, SD · Census Tract 46573004306 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$189K
Downside (P10)
$173K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$281K
+49% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$417K
+121% by 2030
Base case: +49% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +121%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46573 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $189K | $229K | $237K | $246K | $281K |
| YoY Change | +21.1% | +3.5% | +3.9% | +14.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $176K | $164K | $165K | $173K | |
| Upside (P90) | $310K | $336K | $356K | $417K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$166K to $233K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$173K to $417K
86.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004160 | $190K | $273K | +44.1% |
| Tract 002081 | $188K | $278K | +48.2% |
| Tract 002285 | $188K | $275K | +46.7% |
| Tract 004102 | $191K | $298K | +56.2% |
| Tract 002366 | $191K | $265K | +38.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001163 | $194K | $305K | +57.4% |
| Tract 004102 | $191K | $298K | +56.2% |
| Tract 003886 | $240K | $369K | +54.0% |
| Tract 002324 | $157K | $235K | +50.3% |
| Tract 004746 | $245K | $368K | +50.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004487 | $170K | $225K | $192K |
| Tract 001600 | $160K | $225K | $199K |
| Tract 004461 | $164K | $228K | $208K |
| Tract 001668 | $160K | $237K | $222K |
| Tract 002285 | $188K | $275K | $223K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources