County 41932, OR · Census Tract 41932090008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.17M
Downside (P10)
$1.73M
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.10M
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.61M
+20% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +20%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 41932 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.2M | $2.2M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | -4.7% | -1.9% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.5M | $2.5M | $2.6M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.00M to $2.37M
17.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.73M to $2.61M
41.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560004 | $2.48M | $1.87M | -24.8% |
| Tract 040003 | $1.66M | $1.28M | -22.7% |
| Tract 640005 | $1.47M | $1.22M | -17.3% |
| Tract 680007 | $1.42M | $1.16M | -18.0% |
| Tract 240007 | $2.94M | $2.67M | -9.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440001 | $580K | $678K | +16.8% |
| Tract 360000 | $800K | $739K | -7.6% |
| Tract 240007 | $2.94M | $2.67M | -9.2% |
| Tract 640005 | $1.47M | $1.22M | -17.3% |
| Tract 680007 | $1.42M | $1.16M | -18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560004 | $2.48M | $1.87M | $590K |
| Tract 440001 | $580K | $678K | $805K |
| Tract 360000 | $800K | $739K | $878K |
| Tract 720006 | $1.21M | $989K | $1.05M |
| Tract 680007 | $1.42M | $1.16M | $1.07M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources