County 40811, OK · Census Tract 40811120100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$80K
Downside (P10)
$77K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$112K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$176K
+121% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +121%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40811 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $97K | $96K | $101K | $112K |
| YoY Change | +21.6% | -0.5% | +4.5% | +11.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $77K | $73K | $73K | $77K | |
| Upside (P90) | $131K | $136K | $156K | $176K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$71K to $102K
38.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$77K to $176K
88.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080004 | $70K | $92K | +31.7% |
| Tract 800006 | $92K | $136K | +47.3% |
| Tract 680103 | $64K | $89K | +39.1% |
| Tract 800103 | $96K | $132K | +38.0% |
| Tract 760007 | $191K | $270K | +41.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800006 | $92K | $136K | +47.3% |
| Tract 760007 | $191K | $270K | +41.6% |
| Tract 480002 | $195K | $272K | +39.7% |
| Tract 680103 | $64K | $89K | +39.1% |
| Tract 800103 | $96K | $132K | +38.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080004 | $70K | $92K | $80K |
| Tract 680103 | $64K | $89K | $95K |
| Tract 800006 | $92K | $136K | $113K |
| Tract 800103 | $96K | $132K | $119K |
| Tract 480002 | $195K | $272K | $192K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources