County 40628, OK · Census Tract 40628780005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$636K
Downside (P10)
$646K
+2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$855K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+88% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from +2% to +88%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40628 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $636K | $768K | $777K | $829K | $855K |
| YoY Change | +20.8% | +1.2% | +6.7% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $676K | $651K | $642K | $646K | |
| Upside (P90) | $959K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$591K to $773K
28.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$646K to $1.20M
64.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400107 | $613K | $775K | +26.5% |
| Tract 720007 | $496K | $701K | +41.3% |
| Tract 000002 | $793K | $1.17M | +47.8% |
| Tract 440002 | $808K | $1.08M | +34.0% |
| Tract 240008 | $401K | $487K | +21.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520003 | $223K | $329K | +48.0% |
| Tract 000002 | $793K | $1.17M | +47.8% |
| Tract 720007 | $496K | $701K | +41.3% |
| Tract 881001 | $274K | $373K | +35.9% |
| Tract 160007 | $116K | $156K | +35.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160007 | $116K | $156K | $143K |
| Tract 520003 | $223K | $329K | $250K |
| Tract 640006 | $304K | $400K | $401K |
| Tract 881001 | $274K | $373K | $407K |
| Tract 240008 | $401K | $487K | $496K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources