County 40741, OK · Census Tract 40741840107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.02M
Downside (P10)
$1.04M
+2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.29M
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.74M
+70% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from +2% to +70%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 40741 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +22.2% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$935K to $1.16M
22.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.04M to $1.74M
53.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120005 | $465K | $681K | +46.5% |
| Tract 760009 | $367K | $486K | +32.5% |
| Tract 880002 | $246K | $344K | +40.1% |
| Tract 440002 | $72K | $107K | +49.6% |
| Tract 480004 | $69K | $100K | +44.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440002 | $72K | $107K | +49.6% |
| Tract 120005 | $465K | $681K | +46.5% |
| Tract 480004 | $69K | $100K | +44.0% |
| Tract 880002 | $246K | $344K | +40.1% |
| Tract 760009 | $367K | $486K | +32.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480004 | $69K | $100K | $135K |
| Tract 440002 | $72K | $107K | $145K |
| Tract 880002 | $246K | $344K | $238K |
| Tract 120005 | $465K | $681K | $497K |
| Tract 760009 | $367K | $486K | $521K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources