County 40628, OK · Census Tract 40628881001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$274K
Downside (P10)
$245K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$653K
+138% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +138%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40628 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $274K | $314K | $333K | $348K | $373K |
| YoY Change | +14.3% | +6.1% | +4.5% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $235K | $237K | $245K | |
| Upside (P90) | $437K | $502K | $558K | $653K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$234K to $366K
48.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$245K to $653K
109.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $304K | $400K | +31.5% |
| Tract 520003 | $223K | $329K | +48.0% |
| Tract 240008 | $401K | $487K | +21.5% |
| Tract 160007 | $116K | $156K | +35.3% |
| Tract 720007 | $496K | $701K | +41.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520003 | $223K | $329K | +48.0% |
| Tract 000002 | $793K | $1.17M | +47.8% |
| Tract 720007 | $496K | $701K | +41.3% |
| Tract 160007 | $116K | $156K | +35.3% |
| Tract 780005 | $636K | $855K | +34.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160007 | $116K | $156K | $143K |
| Tract 520003 | $223K | $329K | $250K |
| Tract 640006 | $304K | $400K | $401K |
| Tract 240008 | $401K | $487K | $496K |
| Tract 780005 | $636K | $855K | $552K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources