County 40624, OK · Census Tract 40624401003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$339K
Downside (P10)
$272K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$468K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$834K
+146% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +146%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 40624 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $339K | $372K | $400K | $434K | $468K |
| YoY Change | +9.8% | +7.6% | +8.3% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $270K | $260K | $257K | $272K | |
| Upside (P90) | $537K | $682K | $714K | $834K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$283K to $464K
53.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$272K to $834K
120.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960007 | $308K | $411K | +33.1% |
| Tract 920005 | $271K | $436K | +60.7% |
| Tract 560009 | $412K | $527K | +28.0% |
| Tract 360005 | $429K | $477K | +11.3% |
| Tract 320003 | $223K | $309K | +38.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920005 | $271K | $436K | +60.7% |
| Tract 880006 | $87K | $129K | +47.8% |
| Tract 480008 | $612K | $900K | +47.1% |
| Tract 081009 | $101K | $146K | +44.3% |
| Tract 320003 | $223K | $309K | +38.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 081009 | $101K | $146K | $142K |
| Tract 880006 | $87K | $129K | $162K |
| Tract 320003 | $223K | $309K | $255K |
| Tract 960007 | $308K | $411K | $411K |
| Tract 920005 | $271K | $436K | $427K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources