County 40621, OK · Census Tract 40621841006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$387K
Downside (P10)
$264K
-32% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$483K
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$824K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -32% to +113%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40621 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $387K | $428K | $438K | $442K | $483K |
| YoY Change | +10.8% | +2.3% | +0.8% | +9.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $257K | $264K | $264K | |
| Upside (P90) | $588K | $653K | $732K | $824K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$324K to $521K
51.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$264K to $824K
115.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000009 | $472K | $633K | +34.1% |
| Tract 680005 | $474K | $726K | +53.2% |
| Tract 560002 | $259K | $401K | +55.0% |
| Tract 480108 | $550K | $646K | +17.5% |
| Tract 120002 | $591K | $768K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560002 | $259K | $401K | +55.0% |
| Tract 680005 | $474K | $726K | +53.2% |
| Tract 040001 | $101K | $142K | +40.3% |
| Tract 760006 | $50K | $70K | +39.6% |
| Tract 000009 | $472K | $633K | +34.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760006 | $50K | $70K | $95K |
| Tract 160004 | $92K | $118K | $101K |
| Tract 040001 | $101K | $142K | $140K |
| Tract 560002 | $259K | $401K | $370K |
| Tract 680005 | $474K | $726K | $409K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources