County 40570, OK · Census Tract 40570080109 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$124K
Downside (P10)
$112K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$176K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$259K
+109% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +109%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40570 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $152K | $152K | $158K | $176K |
| YoY Change | +22.3% | +0.2% | +3.6% | +11.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $121K | $112K | $108K | $112K | |
| Upside (P90) | $204K | $221K | $226K | $259K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$109K to $154K
35.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$112K to $259K
83.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440105 | $123K | $187K | +52.2% |
| Tract 240004 | $133K | $175K | +31.6% |
| Tract 080002 | $114K | $153K | +33.6% |
| Tract 560001 | $482K | $486K | +0.9% |
| Tract 120001 | $484K | $737K | +52.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640109 | $665K | $1.10M | +65.6% |
| Tract 120108 | $494K | $813K | +64.7% |
| Tract 120001 | $484K | $737K | +52.4% |
| Tract 440105 | $123K | $187K | +52.2% |
| Tract 080002 | $114K | $153K | +33.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080002 | $114K | $153K | $125K |
| Tract 240004 | $133K | $175K | $142K |
| Tract 440105 | $123K | $187K | $160K |
| Tract 120001 | $484K | $737K | $393K |
| Tract 680004 | $743K | $939K | $518K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources