County 40473, OK · Census Tract 40473240101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$552K
Downside (P10)
$544K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$699K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$913K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +65%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 40473 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $552K | $627K | $639K | $667K | $699K |
| YoY Change | +13.5% | +1.9% | +4.4% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $546K | $516K | $527K | $544K | |
| Upside (P90) | $736K | $786K | $854K | $913K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$508K to $617K
19.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$544K to $913K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120001 | $494K | $691K | +39.9% |
| Tract 440008 | $492K | $655K | +33.0% |
| Tract 640002 | $489K | $589K | +20.5% |
| Tract 200002 | $366K | $465K | +27.2% |
| Tract 600000 | $349K | $426K | +21.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400006 | $234K | $340K | +45.2% |
| Tract 120001 | $494K | $691K | +39.9% |
| Tract 840006 | $240K | $330K | +37.8% |
| Tract 440008 | $492K | $655K | +33.0% |
| Tract 720003 | $322K | $416K | +29.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $110K | $142K | $127K |
| Tract 840006 | $240K | $330K | $206K |
| Tract 400006 | $234K | $340K | $253K |
| Tract 720003 | $322K | $416K | $323K |
| Tract 600000 | $349K | $426K | $337K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources