County 40470, OK · Census Tract 40470360107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$648K
Downside (P10)
$723K
+12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$905K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+89% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from +12% to +89%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 40470 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $648K | $768K | $815K | $839K | $905K |
| YoY Change | +18.5% | +6.0% | +3.0% | +7.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $666K | $673K | $690K | $723K | |
| Upside (P90) | $891K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$589K to $730K
21.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$723K to $1.23M
55.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960002 | $298K | $430K | +44.3% |
| Tract 400009 | $272K | $398K | +46.6% |
| Tract 120004 | $219K | $317K | +44.5% |
| Tract 210008 | $134K | $175K | +30.7% |
| Tract 840009 | $56K | $80K | +43.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400009 | $272K | $398K | +46.6% |
| Tract 120004 | $219K | $317K | +44.5% |
| Tract 960002 | $298K | $430K | +44.3% |
| Tract 840009 | $56K | $80K | +43.3% |
| Tract 920000 | $55K | $73K | +31.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840009 | $56K | $80K | $86K |
| Tract 920000 | $55K | $73K | $89K |
| Tract 210008 | $134K | $175K | $138K |
| Tract 120004 | $219K | $317K | $198K |
| Tract 400009 | $272K | $398K | $327K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources