County 40182, OK · Census Tract 40182520002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$354K
Downside (P10)
$222K
-37% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$400K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$697K
+97% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -37% to +97%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40182 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $354K | $384K | $374K | $383K | $400K |
| YoY Change | +8.5% | -2.6% | +2.4% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $256K | $240K | $218K | $222K | |
| Upside (P90) | $534K | $606K | $634K | $697K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$281K to $472K
54.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$222K to $697K
118.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640005 | $358K | $425K | +18.7% |
| Tract 240007 | $384K | $553K | +44.0% |
| Tract 120004 | $385K | $461K | +19.6% |
| Tract 440001 | $294K | $368K | +25.0% |
| Tract 080005 | $261K | $352K | +34.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $384K | $553K | +44.0% |
| Tract 080005 | $261K | $352K | +34.5% |
| Tract 440001 | $294K | $368K | +25.0% |
| Tract 200005 | $561K | $697K | +24.2% |
| Tract 120004 | $385K | $461K | +19.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120004 | $385K | $461K | $304K |
| Tract 080005 | $261K | $352K | $317K |
| Tract 440001 | $294K | $368K | $394K |
| Tract 640005 | $358K | $425K | $458K |
| Tract 200005 | $561K | $697K | $488K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources