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Queens, NY · ZIP 11418 · Census Tract 36081012601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$783K
Downside (P10)
$630K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$807K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.04M
+33% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $457K | $459K | $473K | $465K | $473K | $521K | $553K | $687K | $708K | $737K | $783K | $793K | $791K | $807K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | +3.1% | -1.7% | +1.7% | +10.0% | +6.2% | +24.2% | +3.1% | +4.1% | +6.3% | +1.2% | -0.3% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $592K | $604K | $630K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $903K | $953K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$592K to $903K
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$630K to $1.04M
51.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Hill · 11418 · (Tract 126.1) | $761K | $807K | +6.1% | |
| Downtown Flushing | $787K | $901K | +14.5% | |
| Ozone Park | $779K | $863K | +10.8% | |
| Jamaica | $785K | $861K | +9.7% | |
| Bayside | $781K | $839K | +7.4% | |
| New York | $784K | $813K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Hill · 11418 · (Tract 126.1) | $761K | $807K | +6.1% | |
| Jamaica | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| Flushing | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| Middle Village | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| Cambria Heights | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Hill · 11418 · (Tract 126.1) | $761K | $807K | $414K | |
| Woodhaven | $310K | $335K | $143K | |
| Oakland Gardens | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| New York | $168K | $193K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.