Manhattan, NY · ZIP 10016 · Census Tract 36061008200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$960K
Downside (P10)
$680K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.05M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +48%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Manhattan markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $875K | $824K | $872K | $922K | $948K | $979K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $960K | $934K | $960K | $984K | $995K | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -5.7% | +5.8% | +5.7% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +4.9% | +2.9% | -9.1% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +1.2% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $737K | $670K | $680K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$737K to $1.22M
48.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$680K to $1.42M
70.6% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources