County 36715, NY · Census Tract 36715700009 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$890K
Downside (P10)
$689K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$924K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.37M
+53% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +53%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 36715 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $890K | $963K | $867K | $841K | $924K |
| YoY Change | +8.3% | -10.1% | -2.9% | +9.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $798K | $692K | $654K | $689K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$787K to $1.12M
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$689K to $1.37M
73.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640004 | $862K | $857K | -0.6% |
| Tract 080004 | $768K | $638K | -17.0% |
| Tract 800006 | $620K | $575K | -7.2% |
| Tract 360009 | $549K | $546K | -0.6% |
| Tract 160005 | $534K | $585K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080101 | $400K | $519K | +29.6% |
| Tract 160005 | $534K | $585K | +9.7% |
| Tract 760007 | $515K | $555K | +7.8% |
| Tract 200004 | $518K | $554K | +6.9% |
| Tract 300001 | $526K | $557K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080101 | $400K | $519K | $578K |
| Tract 200004 | $518K | $554K | $595K |
| Tract 760007 | $515K | $555K | $645K |
| Tract 300001 | $526K | $557K | $678K |
| Tract 360009 | $549K | $546K | $770K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources