County 36713, NY · Census Tract 36713161006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$652K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$561K
-14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+72% by 2030
Base case: -14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +72%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 36713 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $652K | $665K | $620K | $564K | $561K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | -6.8% | -9.0% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $411K | $327K | $279K | $254K | |
| Upside (P90) | $964K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$450K to $846K
60.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$254K to $1.12M
154.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $636K | $591K | -7.0% |
| Tract 540009 | $724K | $731K | +0.9% |
| Tract 560005 | $741K | $656K | -11.5% |
| Tract 520003 | $543K | $574K | +5.7% |
| Tract 720007 | $535K | $596K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720007 | $535K | $596K | +11.5% |
| Tract 520003 | $543K | $574K | +5.7% |
| Tract 920001 | $494K | $516K | +4.4% |
| Tract 540009 | $724K | $731K | +0.9% |
| Tract 280000 | $636K | $591K | -7.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $494K | $516K | $715K |
| Tract 720007 | $535K | $596K | $717K |
| Tract 520003 | $543K | $574K | $858K |
| Tract 280000 | $636K | $591K | $918K |
| Tract 560005 | $741K | $656K | $959K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources