County 36122, NY · Census Tract 36122800000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$560K
Downside (P10)
$391K
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$732K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+132% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +132%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 36122 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $560K | $633K | $653K | $663K | $732K |
| YoY Change | +13.0% | +3.2% | +1.5% | +10.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $473K | $400K | $395K | $391K | |
| Upside (P90) | $864K | $977K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$480K to $713K
41.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$391K to $1.30M
124.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080008 | $572K | $837K | +46.4% |
| Tract 400002 | $507K | $669K | +31.8% |
| Tract 240000 | $506K | $578K | +14.4% |
| Tract 840002 | $483K | $728K | +50.7% |
| Tract 960005 | $478K | $692K | +44.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840002 | $483K | $728K | +50.7% |
| Tract 080008 | $572K | $837K | +46.4% |
| Tract 000004 | $409K | $596K | +45.7% |
| Tract 960005 | $478K | $692K | +44.6% |
| Tract 360003 | $892K | $1.27M | +42.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $409K | $596K | $499K |
| Tract 840002 | $483K | $728K | $557K |
| Tract 400002 | $507K | $669K | $558K |
| Tract 960005 | $478K | $692K | $567K |
| Tract 880004 | $474K | $619K | $589K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources