County 36241, NY · Census Tract 36241360007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$407K
Downside (P10)
$392K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$583K
+43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$879K
+116% by 2030
Base case: +43% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +116%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 36241 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $407K | $465K | $497K | $539K | $583K |
| YoY Change | +14.1% | +7.0% | +8.4% | +8.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $380K | $372K | $361K | $392K | |
| Upside (P90) | $581K | $676K | $742K | $879K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$357K to $494K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$392K to $879K
83.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960009 | $419K | $616K | +47.3% |
| Tract 080002 | $434K | $620K | +42.7% |
| Tract 840006 | $441K | $638K | +44.6% |
| Tract 120001 | $462K | $673K | +45.8% |
| Tract 920007 | $464K | $629K | +35.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600000 | $510K | $763K | +49.6% |
| Tract 000008 | $507K | $755K | +48.7% |
| Tract 960009 | $419K | $616K | +47.3% |
| Tract 560001 | $508K | $744K | +46.3% |
| Tract 120001 | $462K | $673K | +45.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920007 | $464K | $629K | $415K |
| Tract 840006 | $441K | $638K | $432K |
| Tract 960009 | $419K | $616K | $507K |
| Tract 120001 | $462K | $673K | $530K |
| Tract 080002 | $434K | $620K | $534K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources