County 32390, NV · Census Tract 32390001240 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$310K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$511K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$748K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +107%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 32390 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $361K | $421K | $453K | $479K | $511K |
| YoY Change | +16.7% | +7.5% | +5.8% | +6.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $317K | $312K | $313K | $310K | |
| Upside (P90) | $558K | $618K | $665K | $748K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$313K to $455K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$310K to $748K
85.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001842 | $360K | $510K | +41.6% |
| Tract 002207 | $360K | $491K | +36.4% |
| Tract 001046 | $359K | $490K | +36.4% |
| Tract 001208 | $363K | $472K | +30.1% |
| Tract 000209 | $358K | $503K | +40.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001101 | $353K | $542K | +53.3% |
| Tract 001606 | $355K | $537K | +51.0% |
| Tract 002689 | $352K | $521K | +48.1% |
| Tract 001745 | $337K | $495K | +46.6% |
| Tract 002540 | $346K | $504K | +45.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000128 | $345K | $463K | $379K |
| Tract 001680 | $358K | $497K | $383K |
| Tract 001460 | $348K | $488K | $386K |
| Tract 001347 | $338K | $478K | $390K |
| Tract 001101 | $353K | $542K | $391K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources